hide captionLast-minute applicants for health insurance jam the Bay Area Rescue Mission in Richmond, Calif., on Monday.
An analysis of the people who signed up for health insurance on California’s exchange found that they are likely to drop the coverage for a pretty good reason: They found insurance elsewhere.
Researchers at the University of California, Berkeley, Labor Center estimate that about 20 percent of Covered California enrollees are expected to leave the program because they found a job that offers health insurance. Another 20 percent will see their incomes fall and will become eligible for Medi-Cal, the state’s insurance program for people who have low incomes.
In addition to the 40 percent of enrollees who move to Medi-Cal or job-based insurance, between 2 and 8 percent of those who sign up for Covered California are expected to become uninsured, the analysis noted.
This turnover — or “churn” to those who study health insurance — is well-known in the Medi-Cal and
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